You have a pot of money that you wish to invest, and two
opportunities have arisen: (1) Someone has offered you a 5% return on
your money for a short-term loan. (2) Over that same time period,
there is a horse race with three horses offering uniform fair odds,
but you happen to know that the odds of the horses winning is not
uniform but rather (1/2, 1/4, 1/4).
You will invest in either (1) or (2) repeatedly.
- What is the optimal betting strategy for (2), and what is the
corresponding doubling rate?
- Which opportunity would cause your wealth to increase at the
greatest rate?